Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +1 (78-77). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Aiken * | 36 | 6-18 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | -2 | - |
| Chris Lewis * | 32 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Justin Bassey * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Noah Kirkwood * | 24 | 8-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Weisner Perez * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rio Haskett | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Robert Baker | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Danilo Djuricic | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christian Juzang | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kale Catchings | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mason Forbes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Henry Welsh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Bryce * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Braxton Beverly * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Torin Dorn * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Markell Johnson * | 25 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Wyatt Walker * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Devon Daniels | 28 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| DJ Funderburk | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Eric Lockett | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Blake Harris | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jericole Hellems | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter