Morehead State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

Also known as: Morehead State Eagles

Program History

Coach: Donnie Tyndall

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

60.0

PPG

66.0

Opp

-6.0

Margin

44.2%

FG%

37.5%

3P%

72.7%

FT%

30.0

RPG

10.0

APG

19.0

Est. poss./game

59.3

Adj PPG

61.8

Adj Opp PPG

#212

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	983 (#177)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	997 (#172)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More →	1040 (#111)	HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More →	-2.8 (#213)	HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More →	+0.3 (#165)	HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.422 (#200)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.3 More →	0.379 (#210)	AdjNet -4.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.3 More →	0.378 (#210)	AdjNet -4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.3 \| AdjD 61.8 More →	0.443 (#212)	AdjO 59.3 \| AdjD 61.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 \| AdjD 59.3 More →	0.535 (#132)	AdjO 60.8 \| AdjD 59.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.485 (#176)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.503 (#164)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 \| GP 27 More →	987 (#177)	RD 153 \| GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2011-11-13	@	NC State Wolfpack	L	61 - 91
2011-11-15	@	Charleston Cougars	L	57 - 72
2011-11-17	vs	Asbury College Eagles	W	100 - 48
2011-11-22	@	West Virginia Mountaineers	L	48 - 83
2011-11-25	@	West Alabama Tigers	W	61 - 52
2011-11-26	vs	Princeton Tigers	W	68 - 56
2011-11-27	@	Bucknell Bison	L	50 - 54
2011-12-01	@	Kent State Golden Flashes	L	63 - 83
2011-12-04	vs	Mid-Continent Colleg	W	83 - 57
2011-12-07	vs	Illinois State Redbirds	L	73 - 78
2011-12-10	vs	South Dakota Coyotes	L	56 - 57
2011-12-19	@	Binghamton Bearcats	W	64 - 45
2011-12-23	vs	Ball State Cardinals	W	62 - 54
2011-12-28	@	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	L	51 - 67
2011-12-31	vs	Austin Peay Governors	W	68 - 64
2012-01-05	@	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	W	63 - 55
2012-01-07	@	Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles	L	55 - 66
2012-01-11	@	Tennessee State Tigers	L	72 - 77
2012-01-14	vs	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	W	57 - 54
2012-01-18	vs	Murray State Racers	L	60 - 66
2012-01-24	@	Norfolk State Spartans	W	75 - 69
2012-01-28	vs	Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles	W	56 - 50
2012-02-04	@	Eastern Illinois Panthers	W	56 - 55
2012-02-08	vs	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	L	55 - 69
2012-02-15	@	Austin Peay Governors	W	52 - 48
2012-02-18	@	Bowling Green Falcons	L	60 - 73
2012-02-23	vs	Eastern Illinois Panthers	W	75 - 39
2012-02-25	vs	SIU Edwardsville Cougars	W	76 - 61
2012-03-01	vs	Jacksonville State Gamecocks	W	68 - 54
2012-03-02	@	Tennessee State Tigers	L	52 - 59

2012 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Terrance Hill	G	15	29.1	13.3	2.1	2.3	1.3	0.1	2.3	1.3	15.6	-71	11	-6.5	-9.6	36.8	33.3	91.7	-2.95	411.9	44.7
Ty Proffitt	G	30	30.7	10.3	2.5	1.8	0.6	0.0	1.7	2.0	11.6	-25	26	-1.0	-1.3	42.4	38.5	84.2	-1.46	204.7	55.1
Drew Kelly	F	30	24.5	10.2	4.6	1.1	0.9	0.2	1.6	2.6	12.7	43	26	1.7	2.9	53.8	26.7	81.8	0.61	157.1	56.4
Marsell Holden	G	29	21.3	8.2	1.3	0.7	0.9	0.1	1.2	1.9	8.1	47	25	1.9	3.9	33.3	37.2	60.0	1.93	211.7	48.1
Milton Chavis	F	29	18.9	7.6	4.3	0.6	0.9	0.4	2.0	1.7	10.0	-23	25	-0.9	-2.1	55.1	100.0	53.8	-2.23	201.0	56.1
Angelo Warner	G	30	20.2	6.0	4.4	1.2	1.1	0.2	1.4	1.7	9.8	79	26	3.0	6.4	34.6	36.0	69.4	2.6	132.7	43.3
Lamont Austin	G	28	25.0	4.3	1.9	2.9	1.4	0.1	2.0	1.2	7.4	33	25	1.3	2.2	41.2	25.0	80.0	1.53	147.8	45.6
Kahlil Owens	F	27	15.0	4.3	4.8	0.3	0.7	0.3	1.1	0.9	8.4	-36	23	-1.6	-4.9	60.0	0	43.8	-3.67	182.6	60.0
Deandre Mathieu	G	27	12.9	2.9	1.1	1.5	0.9	0.0	1.4	0.7	4.3	11	23	0.5	1.7	44.4	50.0	85.7	-0.72	185.0	47.2
Will Bailey	-	22	6.0	2.2	1.2	0.1	0.3	0.0	0.5	0.4	3.0	-	-	-	-	37.5	0.0	0	-	306.2	37.5
Devon Atkinson	G	23	8.6	1.5	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.7	0.4	2.2	-26	20	-1.3	-6.3	50.0	0.0	0.0	-3.24	162.8	50.0
Dionte Ferguson	F	17	6.5	1.3	1.3	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.7	0.0	2.8	-3	12	-0.2	-1.8	0	0	0	-1.05	0	0
Jordan Percell	F	29	8.1	0.8	0.8	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.3	0.2	1.3	-30	24	-1.2	-6.8	40.0	0	100.0	-2.5	195.6	40.0
Jeff Drew	-	2	4.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.5	1.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	0	0	0	-	0	0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG