Minnesota Lynx
2009 Team Stats (34 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 861 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 945 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 932 (#13) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -2.5 (#12) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -4.6 (#13) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.402 (#12) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.400 (#12) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.399 (#12) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.445 (#12) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 81.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.407 (#13) | AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 81.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.384 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.377 (#13) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 900 (#13) | RD 129 | GP 34 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Augustus
|
G | 7 | 26.4 | 18.0 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 12.3 | 10.6 | - | - | - | - | 57.0 | 64.3 | 90.5 | - | 66.1 | 62.2 |
C. Wiggins
|
G | 34 | 29.9 | 13.1 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 10.6 | 7.1 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 32.1 | 89.3 | - | 52.3 | 43.3 |
C. Houston
|
F | 35 | 23.2 | 13.0 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 11.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 46.6 | 33.3 | 73.3 | - | 53.1 | 49.6 |
N. Anosike
|
F | 31 | 29.3 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 15.6 | - | - | - | - | 48.3 | 25.0 | 69.7 | - | 56.0 | 48.5 |
R. Hodges
|
F | 34 | 27.3 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 41.6 | 39.9 | 90.9 | - | 56.3 | 53.9 |
R. Montgomery
|
G | 35 | 22.5 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 41.0 | 34.1 | 82.4 | - | 54.2 | 49.2 |
T. Humphrey
|
NA | 19 | 18.0 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 7.3 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 39.9 | 32.2 | 80.8 | - | 50.2 | 46.7 |
Q. Hollingsworth
|
C | 35 | 12.9 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.6 | 4.4 | - | - | - | - | 42.5 | 0 | 71.4 | - | 52.3 | 42.5 |
K. Miller
|
G | 35 | 19.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 35.8 | 32.8 | 90.9 | - | 46.7 | 43.0 |
R. McCants
|
NA | 35 | 14.4 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 36.4 | 27.5 | 53.7 | - | 42.1 | 39.9 |
K. Hairston
|
NA | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
H. Turkoglu
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
A. Montanana
|
NA | 15 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 2.6 | - | - | - | - | 38.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 47.3 | 45.6 |
Jeff Hagen
|
- | 18 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.4 | - | - | - | - | 43.3 | 0 | 70.6 | - | 50.7 | 43.3 |
Sirelle Wilkerson
|
- | 12 | 6.8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 12.0 | 12.5 | 50.0 | - | 15.5 | 14.0 |
A. DeForge
|
NA | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
I. Udoka
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2009 Shot Zones
2295 located field-goal attempts in 35 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
C. HoustonC. WigginsR. HodgesN. AnosikeR. MontgomeryT. HumphreyS. Augustus
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 416-757 | 55.0 | 832 | N. Anosike 24% (200 pts) | C. Houston 20% (164 pts) | N. Anosike 18% (63 misses) | C. Wiggins 17% (59 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 156-422 | 37.0 | 312 | C. Houston 38% (120 pts) | C. Wiggins 13% (40 pts) | C. Houston 26% (69 misses) | C. Wiggins 16% (42 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 54-154 | 35.1 | 108 | S. Augustus 20% (22 pts) | K. Miller 19% (20 pts) | N. Anosike 18% (18 misses) | R. Hodges 14% (14 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 32-73 | 43.8 | 64 | R. Montgomery 16% (10 pts) | Jeff Hagen 12% (8 pts) | R. Hodges 17% (7 misses) | R. Montgomery 17% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 64-195 | 32.8 | 128 | R. Montgomery 19% (24 pts) | C. Houston 16% (20 pts) | C. Wiggins 16% (21 misses) | C. Houston 13% (17 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 28-57 | 49.1 | 84 | R. Hodges 46% (39 pts) | C. Wiggins 25% (21 pts) | C. Wiggins 34% (10 misses) | R. Hodges 34% (10 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 7-24 | 29.2 | 21 | R. Hodges 71% (15 pts) | C. Wiggins 14% (3 pts) | C. Wiggins 35% (6 misses) | R. Hodges 24% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 82-244 | 33.6 | 246 | R. Hodges 26% (63 pts) | C. Wiggins 23% (57 pts) | R. Hodges 27% (44 misses) | C. Wiggins 20% (32 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 43-133 | 32.3 | 129 | T. Humphrey 21% (27 pts) | R. Montgomery 16% (21 pts) | C. Houston 20% (18 misses) | C. Wiggins 17% (15 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 85-236 | 36.0 | 255 | R. Hodges 29% (75 pts) | R. Montgomery 24% (60 pts) | R. Montgomery 29% (44 misses) | R. Hodges 23% (34 misses) |