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2009-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% -
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% -
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -

Actual: Minnesota Lynx -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Thompson 36 11-24 4-8 4-5 8 4 0 1 6 30 13 -
C. Parker 34 5-9 1-1 1-2 10 1 1 2 1 12 16 -
D. Milton-Jones 34 4-8 1-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 11 10 -
B. Lennox 30 3-8 0-1 5-5 1 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
N. Quinn 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 2 8 -
K. Harrower 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 -1 -
S. Bobbitt 11 2-7 0-3 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 5 -2 -
V. Hayden-Johnson 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 7 1-3 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 0 0 4 7 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hodges 33 6-13 2-6 0-0 4 4 2 1 0 14 12 -
N. Anosike 28 3-8 0-0 0-0 6 3 4 2 2 6 11 -
R. Montgomery 25 2-8 1-4 2-2 0 1 2 0 2 7 0 -
C. Houston 18 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 10 6 -
T. Humphrey 18 4-8 2-5 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 11 9 -
R. McCants 18 2-4 0-1 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
C. Wiggins 16 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 4 -2 -
Q. Hollingsworth 15 2-6 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
K. Miller 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -

* = starter