Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +4 (98-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roneeka Hodges * | 36 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Charde Houston * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 23 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Tasha Humphrey | 19 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rashanda McCants | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Anna Montanana | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandrine Gruda * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Tan White * | 28 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Anete Jekabsone-Zogota * | 20 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Amber Holt | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chante Black | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kiesha Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter