Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✗ (31.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +29 (109-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 2-15 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| L. Willingham | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| K. Swanier | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Quigley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wiggins | 29 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| R. Hodges | 25 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| N. Anosike | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| R. McCants | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 21 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Houston | 19 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Miller | 19 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| L. Sanders | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter