Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +24 (104-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wiggins | 35 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Anosike | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 24 | - |
| C. Houston | 28 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 6 | - |
| R. Hodges | 22 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Miller | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| S. Augustus | 13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Sanders | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. McCants | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 9-15 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 18 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 5-15 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| L. Willingham | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 20 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Quigley | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter