Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -13 (74-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 29 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Willingham | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Smith | 22 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Smith | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Anosike | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| R. Hodges | 27 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 26 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Miller | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. McCants | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Houston | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Montanana | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter