Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✗ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -13 (86-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hodges | 33 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| N. Anosike | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Houston | 26 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| T. Humphrey | 21 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. McCants | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Miller | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Sanders | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 12 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Johnson | 26 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Willingham | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Smith | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter