Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✗ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -13 (86-99). Ratings: 2010 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roneeka Hodges * | 33 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Candice Wiggins * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Charde Houston * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tasha Humphrey | 20 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Rashanda McCants | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 33 | 10-19 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 31 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brooke Smith | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter