🐻⬇️🏀

Louisville

Also known as: Louisville Cardinals, Louisville
Program History

2013 Team Stats (29 games)

72.8
PPG
58.8
Opp
+15.7
Margin
45.4%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
72.0%
FT%
36.4
RPG
14.1
APG
12.5
TO
79.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1558 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1630 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1228 (#2) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +37.6 (#24) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +31.0 (#1) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.831 (#6) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +22.3 More → 0.941 (#9) NetEff +22.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.5 More → 0.950 (#2) AdjNet +25.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.7 More → 0.951 (#3) AdjNet +25.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 57.5 More → 0.837 (#1) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 57.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.969 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.962 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 82 | GP 40 More → 1449 (#1) RD 82 | GP 40

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 79 - 51
2012-11-15 vs Samford Bulldogs W 80 - 54
2012-11-18 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 80 - 39
2012-11-22 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 51 - 46
2012-11-23 vs Missouri Tigers W 84 - 61
2012-11-24 vs Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 76
2012-12-01 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 69 - 66
2012-12-04 @ Charleston Cougars W 80 - 38
2012-12-08 vs Kansas City Roos W 99 - 47
2012-12-15 @ Memphis Tigers W 87 - 78
2012-12-19 vs Florida International Panthers W 79 - 55
2012-12-22 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 78 - 55
2012-12-29 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 80 - 77
2013-01-02 vs Providence Friars W 80 - 62
2013-01-09 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 73 - 58
2013-01-12 vs South Florida Bulls W 64 - 38
2013-01-14 @ UConn Huskies W 73 - 58
2013-01-19 vs Syracuse Orange L 68 - 70
2013-01-22 @ Villanova Wildcats L 64 - 73
2013-01-26 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 51 - 53
2013-01-28 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 64 - 61
2013-02-03 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 70 - 51
2013-02-06 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 68 - 48
2013-02-09 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 101 - 104
2013-02-14 vs St. John's Red Storm W 72 - 58
2013-02-17 @ South Florida Bulls W 59 - 41
2013-02-23 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 79 - 61
2013-02-27 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 79 - 58
2013-03-02 @ Syracuse Orange W 58 - 53
2013-03-04 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 67 - 51
2013-03-09 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 73 - 57
2013-03-14 vs Villanova Wildcats W 74 - 55
2013-03-15 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 69 - 57
2013-03-16 vs Syracuse Orange W 78 - 61
2013-03-21 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 79 - 48
2013-03-23 vs Colorado State Rams W 82 - 56
2013-03-29 vs Oregon Ducks W 77 - 69
2013-03-31 vs Duke Blue Devils W 85 - 63
2013-04-06 vs Wichita State Shockers W 72 - 68
2013-04-08 vs Michigan Wolverines W 82 - 76

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Reyne Smith Reyne Smith G 40 30.3 18.7 3.3 2.9 2.1 0.1 2.7 11.8 12.5 40 3.1 20.8 41.2 32.0 82.6 2.05 64.8 46.4
B. Smith B. Smith - 1 0.0 15.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 11.0 23 0.7 1.7 62.5 0 100.0 0.44 73.5 62.5
A. Slaughter A. Slaughter - 1 0.0 13.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 - - - 44.4 40.0 100.0 - 63.0 55.6
S. Vails S. Vails - 1 0.0 12.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 - - - 83.3 100.0 100.0 - 93.2 91.7
S. Dyer S. Dyer - 2 0.0 11.0 6.5 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 14.5 - - - 50.0 0 88.9 - 61.2 50.0
M. Deines M. Deines - 2 0.0 10.5 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 12.0 - - - 52.9 25.0 100.0 - 60.2 58.8
P. Siva P. Siva G 40 31.2 10.0 2.4 5.7 2.2 0.1 2.6 7.1 10.8 471 11.8 17.1 40.6 28.0 90.8 2.51 63.4 45.9
G. Dieng G. Dieng C 33 31.1 9.8 9.4 2.0 1.3 2.5 1.8 6.1 17.2 - - - 56.7 0 65.0 1.23 65.6 56.7
C. Behanan C. Behanan F 39 26.1 9.8 6.5 1.1 1.4 0.4 1.6 6.7 10.8 253 6.5 11.9 51.0 9.1 53.3 1.32 60.2 51.1
S. Schimmel S. Schimmel - 2 0.0 9.0 1.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 8.0 3.5 - - - 50.0 25.0 0 - 56.2 56.2
L. Hancock L. Hancock F 40 22.4 8.1 2.6 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.0 4.8 7.4 380 9.5 15.0 40.8 37.3 75.4 1.6 74.4 53.9
W. Blackshear W. Blackshear G 39 20.1 7.6 3.1 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.6 5.6 6.3 225 5.8 13.1 43.4 33.9 67.9 1.18 61.2 52.7
S. Hammond S. Hammond - 1 0.0 6.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 9.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 0.0 - 28.7 30.0
M. Harrell M. Harrell F 40 16.2 5.7 3.6 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 3.4 6.7 - - - 57.4 0 47.2 2.69 70.9 57.4
K. Ware K. Ware G 37 16.6 4.5 1.8 0.8 1.1 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.9 341 9.2 18.2 44.6 36.4 69.8 1.77 59.7 49.6
S. Van Treese S. Van Treese F 37 11.2 1.7 3.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.8 4.8 287 8.0 22.2 65.5 0 70.6 2.3 87.7 65.5
Z. Price Z. Price C 16 7.7 1.2 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.9 11 0.4 3.7 50.0 0 50.0 -0.15 64.4 50.0
T. Henderson T. Henderson G 26 3.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 156 5.8 21.1 30.0 23.5 0 1.13 55.0 40.0
L. Baumann L. Baumann G 4 2.8 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.0 -10 -2.0 -6.4 0.0 0 100.0 -0.35 20.5 0.0
M. Baffour M. Baffour G 5 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 21.0 0.0
J. Bond J. Bond G 5 3.4 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 -13 -0.7 -2.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.45 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG