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2013-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% - โœ“

Actual: Syracuse Orange -5 (53-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gorgui Dieng * 34 4-8 0-0 3-4 14 3 2 2 5 11 19 -
Chane Behanan * 30 1-6 0-0 2-8 4 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Russ Smith * 29 5-11 2-3 6-7 2 5 1 0 3 18 12 -
Peyton Siva * 27 0-9 0-8 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 -3 -
Wayne Blackshear * 20 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 3 2 -
Kevin Ware 24 2-3 1-2 3-4 5 0 1 1 2 8 10 -
Luke Hancock 20 4-5 4-5 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 12 7 -
Montrezl Harrell 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Stephan Van Treese 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Triche * 38 2-11 0-3 4-4 4 5 2 0 7 8 1 -
C.J. Fair * 38 9-20 1-1 0-2 6 0 1 1 4 19 3 -
Michael Carter-Williams * 38 3-10 1-4 4-4 7 6 1 0 1 11 14 -
Rakeem Christmas * 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
Jerami Grant * 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
James Southerland 33 5-12 3-5 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 13 10 -
B. Keita 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
Trevor Cooney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
DaJuan Coleman 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter