Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Georgetown Hoyas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgetown Hoyas +2 (53-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorgui Dieng * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Luke Hancock * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Chane Behanan * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Wayne Blackshear * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Peyton Siva * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Russ Smith | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Montrezl Harrell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -15.9 |
| Kevin Ware | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Tim Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 12 | +12.1 |
| Markel Starks * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | +8.2 |
| Nate Lubick * | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +7.0 |
| Jabril Trawick * | 30 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Mikael Hopkins * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -2.9 |
| D'Vauntes Smith-Rivera | 29 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | +12.1 |
| Aaron Bowen | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.8 |
| Moses Abraham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter