Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parker * | 40 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -3 | - |
| S. Kilpatrick * | 39 | 3-15 | 1-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| C. Wright * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| T. Rubles * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Mbodj * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| J. Sanders | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Nyarsuk | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Guyn | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Gaines | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| P. Siva * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Hancock | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Ware | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Harrell | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter