Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas City Roos | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.2% | 99.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.2% | 99.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +52 (99-47). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estan Tyler * | 25 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | -13.1 |
| Nelson Kirksey * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -16.4 |
| Nate Rogers * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Thomas Staton * | 18 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -3.4 |
| Fred Chatmon * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Kirk Korver | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -13.2 |
| Trinity Hall | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Mason Wedel | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -15.0 |
| Brad Reid | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -14.7 |
| Alton Tanner | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +0.0 |
| John Burke | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Caleb Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Trevor Franklin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russ Smith * | 27 | 12-18 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 28 | +14.2 |
| Chane Behanan * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +13.9 |
| Peyton Siva * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Zach Price * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Wayne Blackshear * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Luke Hancock | 23 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +13.5 |
| Montrezl Harrell | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +13.9 |
| Stephan Van Treese | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +9.4 |
| Kevin Ware | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +10.6 |
| Tim Henderson | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +6.1 |
| Jordan Bond | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Logan Baumann | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.5 |
| Michael Baffour | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter