Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (80-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Harrow * | 39 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Goodwin * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 10 | - |
| J. Mays * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| N. Noel * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| W. Cauley-Stein * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| K. Wiltjer | 19 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Poythress | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Polson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Behanan * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P. Siva * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Z. Price * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Harrell | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| G. Dieng | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Hancock | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Ware | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter