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2013-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.4 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% -
Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Log Adjusted 77.5% 22.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -15 (58-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dieng * 39 2-8 0-0 2-3 16 1 2 2 4 6 15 -
C. Behanan * 36 7-11 0-0 2-3 9 5 2 1 3 16 19 -
R. Smith * 33 10-20 2-6 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 23 5 -
W. Blackshear * 26 3-7 0-1 3-3 2 1 1 1 2 9 5 -
P. Siva * 22 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 11 12 -
K. Ware 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Hancock 19 2-4 1-3 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
M. Harrell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Van Treese 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Boatright * 36 4-10 3-7 0-0 4 6 0 0 5 11 6 -
S. Napier * 36 4-13 1-7 3-5 2 6 1 0 1 12 7 -
D. Daniels * 32 4-10 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 1 1 9 7 -
O. Calhoun * 30 6-9 3-4 5-5 4 0 2 2 6 20 13 -
T. Olander * 30 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
N. Giffey 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
E. Wolf 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
R.J. Evans 7 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter