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Lafayette Leopards

Also known as: Lafayette Leopards
Program History

2013 Team Stats (3 games)

61.0
PPG
69.0
Opp
+0.1
Margin
41.5%
FG%
30.5%
3P%
74.4%
FT%
27.0
RPG
11.7
APG
13.0
TO
73.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1013 (#333) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1112 (#303) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1054 (#98) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +15.8 (#331) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +10.9 (#129) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -22.7 More → 0.071 (#242) NetEff -22.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.594 (#108) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.691 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.685 (#148) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 33 More → 1090 (#130) RD 134 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 65 - 76
2012-11-12 vs Long Island University Sharks W 98 - 94
2012-11-16 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 49 - 101
2012-11-18 @ Morehead State Eagles L 74 - 88
2012-11-20 @ Maryland Terrapins L 74 - 83
2012-11-24 vs Princeton Tigers L 53 - 72
2012-11-26 @ Monmouth Hawks L 60 - 65
2012-11-28 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 63 - 60
2012-12-01 @ Long Island University Sharks L 60 - 71
2012-12-04 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 61 - 58
2012-12-07 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 80 - 82
2012-12-09 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 72 - 70
2012-12-18 vs Arcadia University Knights W 86 - 62
2012-12-22 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 50 - 75
2012-12-29 @ Stanford Cardinal L 59 - 65
2013-01-02 vs NJIT Highlanders W 83 - 66
2013-01-08 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 85 - 83
2013-01-12 vs Navy Midshipmen W 64 - 47
2013-01-16 @ Army Black Knights L 54 - 77
2013-01-19 @ Bucknell Bison L 51 - 66
2013-01-23 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 63 - 53
2013-01-27 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 78 - 57
2013-01-30 vs Colgate Raiders W 69 - 40
2013-02-02 @ American University Eagles L 64 - 68
2013-02-09 @ Navy Midshipmen W 70 - 47
2013-02-13 vs Army Black Knights L 68 - 85
2013-02-16 vs Bucknell Bison W 63 - 62
2013-02-20 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 79 - 76
2013-02-24 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 79 - 71
2013-02-27 @ Colgate Raiders W 80 - 67
2013-03-02 vs American University Eagles W 80 - 72
2013-03-06 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 77 - 54
2013-03-09 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 82 - 69
2013-03-13 @ Bucknell Bison L 56 - 64

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Hinrichs S. Hinrichs F 34 28.6 14.5 4.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 1.8 1.8 18.4 174 5.1 7.9 45.0 36.7 70.0 1.94 358.3 54.2
T. Johnson T. Johnson G 34 31.2 13.3 3.8 4.8 1.9 0.2 2.2 1.3 20.4 139 4.1 5.9 52.3 66.7 77.8 0.56 471.2 56.8
D. Trist D. Trist F 29 25.8 12.4 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.4 2.4 1.8 14.4 167 5.8 10.4 59.6 0 76.5 1.87 302.6 59.6
J. Ptasinski J. Ptasinski G 34 28.8 9.6 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.1 1.1 1.3 12.6 30 0.9 1.2 34.9 33.3 50.0 0.22 364.2 46.5
B. Scott B. Scott G 34 23.9 7.9 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 1.0 0.6 10.3 81 2.4 4.0 38.1 22.2 85.7 0.69 558.6 42.9
L. Giese L. Giese F 34 25.2 6.9 4.1 0.9 0.7 1.8 0.9 0.6 12.8 -18 -0.5 -1.0 33.3 27.3 100.0 -0.35 534.7 40.5
A. Flannigan A. Flannigan F 29 15.3 2.6 2.9 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.6 5.3 -153 -5.3 -11.5 62.5 25.0 75.0 -1.85 214.0 65.6
Z. Rufer Z. Rufer G 34 12.6 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 0.2 5.0 -54 -1.6 -4.7 25.0 0.0 60.0 -0.76 282.3 25.0
L. Smith L. Smith G 27 6.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.3 1.0 23 3.8 7.8 25.0 50.0 66.7 0.13 171.7 37.5
B. Murphy B. Murphy F 11 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Freeland B. Freeland F 20 3.9 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.5 -53 -2.5 -16.9 0.0 0 100.0 -0.57 128.9 0.0
N. Musters N. Musters C 33 5.7 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.3 -152 -4.8 -26.0 0.0 0 0 -2.12 700.0 0.0
J. Detmer J. Detmer G 20 3.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 -34 -1.7 -15.7 0 0 50.0 -0.46 284.1 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG