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2013-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +6.0 โœ“ (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“

Actual: Lafayette Leopards +23 (77-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cullen Hamilton * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 5 10 -
Dave Dudzinski * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 22 29 -
Justin Burrell * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 2 11 -
Jordan Stevens * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 9 11 -
Christopher Morgan * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Dee Goens 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 9 13 -
Phil Beans 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
De'Vaughn Reid 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 0 3 -
Eric Obeysekere 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Malcolm Miller 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce Scott * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 0 0 6 15 -
Tony Johnson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 1 3 19 29 -
Levi Giese * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 3 1 6 16 -
Seth Hinrichs * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 20 27 -
Dan Trist * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 4 9 -
Joey Ptasinski 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 12 -
Zach Rufer 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Alan Flannigan 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
Nathaniel Musters 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 8 -
Jack Detmer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Les Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Billy Murphy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Ben Freeland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter