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2013-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.5% 83.5% - โœ“
Margin 8.5% 91.5% +13.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“

Actual: Bucknell Bison +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Johnson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 2 11 20 -
Bryce Scott * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 13 14 -
Levi Giese * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 2 0 2 12 -
Dan Trist * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 8 13 -
Seth Hinrichs * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 11 -
Joey Ptasinski 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 15 20 -
Zach Rufer 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alan Flannigan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nathaniel Musters 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Ayers * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 9 18 -
Mike Muscala * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 0 20 33 -
Bryson Johnson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 7 -
Joe Willman * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 14 22 -
Steven Kaspar * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 1 2 2 10 -
Ryan Frazier 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 10 -
Ben Brackney 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 7 -
Ryan Hill 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Brian Fitzpatrick 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 4 5 -

* = starter