Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks -21 (57-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Johnson | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +15.5 |
| Levi Giese | 33 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Joey Ptasinski | 31 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +14.9 |
| Seth Hinrichs | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | +23.7 |
| Bryce Scott | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +20.8 |
| Dan Trist | 24 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +18.4 |
| Zach Rufer | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.5 |
| Nathaniel Musters | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.3 |
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Knutson | 29 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -12.2 |
| Corey Schaefer | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -16.3 |
| B.J. Bailey | 28 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -8.9 |
| Holden Greiner | 27 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | -19.2 |
| Mackey McKnight | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -12.2 |
| Anthony D'Orazio | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -12.3 |
| Justin Goldsborough | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Stefan Cvrkalj | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Conroy Baltimore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
* = starter