Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +1.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +14 (88-74). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Ptasinski * | 33 | 8-15 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Seth Hinrichs * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +5.9 |
| Tony Johnson * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | +16.1 |
| Levi Giese * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Alan Flannigan * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -4 | -6.2 |
| Zach Rufer | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | -21.1 |
| Bryce Scott | 16 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +8.8 |
| Nathaniel Musters | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Les Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Jack Detmer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Ben Freeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.2 |
| Billy Murphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Atkinson * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 14 | +5.6 |
| Angelo Warner * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | +11.4 |
| Drew Kelly * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +12.7 |
| Jason Holmes * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +10.2 |
| Milton Chavis * | 15 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +17.4 |
| Bakari Turner | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -13.6 |
| Jarrett Stokes | 17 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -6.6 |
| Maurice Lewis-Briggs | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Kahlil Owens | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -5.8 |
| Chad Posthumus | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -4.1 |
| Cordell James | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.2 |
| Bruce Reed | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -15.0 |
* = starter