Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +2 (82-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Ptasinski * | 37 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -16.7 |
| Tony Johnson * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -4.9 |
| Seth Hinrichs * | 31 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | +1.3 |
| Dan Trist * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -7.5 |
| Levi Giese * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Bryce Scott | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Alan Flannigan | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -15.3 |
| Zach Rufer | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -12.4 |
| Nathaniel Musters | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Les Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melquan Bolding * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +8.1 |
| Mustafaa Jones * | 34 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +9.5 |
| Lonnie Robinson * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Kinu Rochford * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 18 | +19.2 |
| Sekou Harris * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Sidney Sanders Jr. | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +17.1 |
| Mathias Seilund | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +6.9 |
| Xavier Harris | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1.6 |
* = starter