Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | +10.1 | ✓ (41.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +17.1 | ✓ (34.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +52 (101-49). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Johnson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Seth Hinrichs * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -17.7 |
| Joey Ptasinski * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -13.2 |
| Alan Flannigan * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -15.6 |
| Levi Giese * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -15.6 |
| Nathaniel Musters | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7.5 |
| Zach Rufer | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -22.1 |
| Bryce Scott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Ben Freeland | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -19.0 |
| Les Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -20.1 |
| Jack Detmer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Billy Murphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Mays * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | +26.6 |
| Nerlens Noel * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 29 | +15.0 |
| Archie Goodwin * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | +17.3 |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 29 | +34.4 |
| Alex Poythress * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 27 | +20.7 |
| Jarrod Polson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +15.4 |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +15.3 |
| Jon Hood | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +10.2 |
| Twany Beckham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Brian Long | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Tod Lanter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
* = starter