Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +3 (61-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umar Shannon * | 39 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | +8.9 |
| Ronnie Drinnon * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +11.7 |
| Kam Ritter * | 33 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5.1 |
| Stephon Mosley * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Ollie Jackson * | 13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +9.0 |
| Stephon Whyatt | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Greg Brown | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Anthony Ervin | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -1.7 |
| Ben Millaud-Meunier | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Trist * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -3.8 |
| Joey Ptasinski * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -10.4 |
| Tony Johnson * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Seth Hinrichs * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | -7.9 |
| Levi Giese * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Bryce Scott | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +7.1 |
| Zach Rufer | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Alan Flannigan | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -8.2 |
| Les Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
* = starter