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Kentucky Wildcats

Also known as: Kentucky Wildcats
Program History

2026 Team Stats (36 games)

74.9
PPG
60.9
Opp
+14.0
Margin
44.4%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
40.4
RPG
16.9
APG
13.2
TO
82.4
Pace
81.1
AdjO
51.1
AdjD
#14
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1361 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1326 (#19) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1093 (#73) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +31.3 (#11) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +42.8 (#9) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.915 (#22) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +27.9 More → 0.968 (#15) NetEff +27.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +44.0 More → 0.994 (#14) AdjNet +44.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +45.6 More → 0.995 (#14) AdjNet +45.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 51.1 More → 0.939 (#14) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 51.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 54.9 More → 0.860 (#11) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 54.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.979 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.971 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 36 More → 1319 (#19) RD 102 | GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Morehead State Eagles W 75 - 59
2025-11-06 vs Monmouth Hawks W 104 - 46
2025-11-09 @ Buffalo Bulls W 81 - 47
2025-11-12 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 90 - 30
2025-11-15 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 76 - 44
2025-11-18 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 76 - 35
2025-11-22 @ Louisville Cardinals W 72 - 62
2025-11-26 @ Maryland Terrapins L 66 - 74
2025-11-28 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 101 - 39
2025-12-03 @ Miami Hurricanes W 64 - 48
2025-12-07 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 82 - 55
2025-12-14 @ Belmont Bruins W 77 - 69
2025-12-19 vs Wright State Raiders W 96 - 53
2025-12-28 vs Hofstra Pride W 80 - 42
2026-01-01 @ LSU Tigers W 80 - 78
2026-01-04 vs Missouri Tigers W 74 - 52
2026-01-08 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 51 - 64
2026-01-11 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 63 - 57
2026-01-15 vs Florida Gators W 94 - 89
2026-01-18 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 59 - 71
2026-01-22 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 58 - 60
2026-01-25 vs Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 67 - 72
2026-02-01 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 93 - 73
2026-02-05 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 83 - 84
2026-02-09 @ Texas Longhorns L 53 - 64
2026-02-12 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 75 - 55
2026-02-15 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 74 - 57
2026-02-22 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 79 - 81
2026-02-26 @ Auburn Tigers W 63 - 56
2026-03-01 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 56 - 60
2026-03-04 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 94 - 64
2026-03-05 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs W 76 - 61
2026-03-06 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 64 - 87
2026-03-21 vs James Madison Dukes W 71 - 56
2026-03-23 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 74 - 73
2026-03-28 @ Texas Longhorns L 54 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Strack C. Strack C 36 31.2 16.9 10.1 1.9 1.2 2.5 2.2 13.8 16.5 113 5.4 6.9 48.2 25.0 66.2 1.87 53.6 50.7
T. Morgan T. Morgan G 36 34.6 13.8 3.1 7.9 0.9 0.6 3.7 10.5 12.2 203 9.2 11.2 46.7 34.4 73.1 2.29 54.9 49.5
T. Key T. Key F 28 26.8 11.4 7.5 1.2 0.7 1.3 2.0 8.7 11.4 74 4.4 6.8 51.2 13.3 69.8 0.97 55.7 51.6
A. Hassett A. Hassett F 36 32.6 10.5 5.2 1.6 0.8 1.3 1.2 8.7 9.6 207 9.4 11.8 39.7 36.1 85.7 3.63 57.6 55.6
A. Boone A. Boone G 36 29.2 10.1 2.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 1.3 9.3 5.3 165 7.5 10.2 36.5 36.5 77.4 0.36 52.4 50.9
J. Obi J. Obi G 36 26.2 9.0 6.0 1.1 0.5 0.6 2.0 7.0 8.1 167 7.6 10.2 51.8 25.0 65.4 3.43 56.0 53.4
K. Carroll K. Carroll F 34 11.7 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 3.4 3.0 55 2.9 8.2 35.0 30.9 60.0 -1.2 48.2 47.4
L. Blue L. Blue G 28 10.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.0 36 1.7 5.7 30.3 30.2 37.5 -1.31 42.4 42.4
J. Gilvin J. Gilvin G 23 6.9 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 25 1.8 10.2 41.7 16.7 87.5 0.83 50.9 43.8
G. Brooks G. Brooks G 8 6.4 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 -10 -1.7 -11.4 28.6 28.6 0 -1.4 42.9 42.9
D. Paurova D. Paurova G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Elsa Vadfors Elsa Vadfors C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG