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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 51.4% 48.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 66.6% 33.4% -3.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 74.2% 25.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% -
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% -
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +13 (64-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hassett 38 3-9 3-8 0-0 6 0 2 2 4 9 6 -5.0
T. Morgan 36 4-13 0-2 6-7 9 5 1 1 5 14 12 -12.0
C. Strack 32 1-13 0-4 2-5 13 2 2 3 3 4 8 -19.2
A. Boone 30 4-9 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 12 3 -14.3
J. Obi 26 3-5 1-1 0-2 4 1 1 0 3 7 5 +7.2
K. Carroll 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -4.8
L. Blue 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 -8.4
J. Gilvin 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +7.2

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Timmons 39 8-16 2-7 6-7 4 2 1 0 4 24 11 +13.3
K. Weathers 38 3-6 1-4 0-0 8 2 7 0 3 7 15 +18.8
D. Collins 37 6-16 3-9 1-1 4 2 1 0 1 16 6 +19.8
T. Scott 24 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 0 2 -5.2
N. Jones 22 2-6 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 3 0 5 10 +4.1
A. Austin 16 1-4 1-2 1-1 3 5 1 0 3 4 6 +21.9
E. Cody 15 2-6 0-0 2-3 2 0 2 0 3 6 1 +10.9
A. Ramsey 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.6
W. Jennings 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.7

* = starter