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2026-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns +22 (76-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tonie Morgan 37 4-12 0-1 0-0 1 7 3 0 8 8 -1 -16.4
Teonni Key 32 2-8 0-1 6-6 9 2 1 3 3 10 14 -10.8
Clara Strack 32 6-14 2-4 2-5 5 0 1 0 2 16 6 -16.2
Amelia Hassett 30 1-6 1-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -1 +2.8
Asia Boone 24 4-6 2-3 1-1 1 2 1 0 3 11 6 -14.2
Jordan Obi 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 2 2 +3.0
Josie Gilvin 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 4 0 2 0 3 +4.8
Kaelyn Carroll 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -2.1

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Lee 37 8-13 1-3 1-3 2 3 3 0 3 18 10 +22.4
Madison Booker 32 8-16 0-2 1-4 8 5 2 0 0 17 16 +18.7
Justice Carlton 32 2-6 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 5 2 +10.4
Rori Harmon 29 5-10 1-2 0-2 7 7 6 0 1 11 20 +23.8
Breya Cunningham 21 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 9 +12.4
Kyla Oldacre 19 4-9 0-0 1-4 7 0 2 0 2 9 7 +5.0
Bryanna Preston 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 5 -5.8
Aaliyah Crump 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 2 3 +2.0
Teya Sidberry 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 +4.1
Ashton Judd 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -0.3
Sarah Graves 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 +2.1

* = starter