🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% -
Log Adjusted 6.0% 94.0% -
Points Off/Def 16.3% 83.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Morgan 39 7-10 3-3 7-12 3 12 1 0 0 24 30 +12.5
T. Key 39 8-14 0-2 1-1 16 0 1 0 4 17 16 +8.0
A. Boone 35 6-16 5-13 1-2 4 3 1 0 0 18 10 +1.7
J. Obi 31 3-11 0-3 0-0 10 2 0 0 4 6 3 +5.7
C. Strack 31 6-13 0-2 3-7 9 1 1 0 0 15 13 +1.8
A. Hassett 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -4 +19.2
K. Carroll 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +7.2
L. Blue 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.2

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 38 9-17 3-5 5-6 8 5 0 0 2 26 20 +0.5
F. Johnson 38 7-13 0-2 1-1 1 2 3 1 0 15 9 -10.3
J. Richard 31 4-9 2-4 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 14 9 -1.2
A. Joyner 27 7-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 14 11 -5.5
G. Knox 21 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 +1.5
K. Koval 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 1 2 2 +7.6
M. Fulwiley 16 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 -2 +3.4
Z. Johnson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -6.1

* = starter