Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | +28.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +26.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +30 (94-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Robinson * | 39 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bonnie Deas * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Taleyah Jones * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Wyvette Mayberry * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Ashlynn Chlarson * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jenna Lawrence | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Harmonie Ware | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Maria Anais Rodriguez | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Maryn Archer | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Danika Galea | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jada Bates | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amelia Hassett * | 30 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Tonie Morgan * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Asia Boone * | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Teonni Key * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Clara Strack * | 22 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Obi | 27 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kaelyn Carroll | 22 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josie Gilvin | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Lexi Blue | 7 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Gabby Brooks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter