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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 โœ“ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (94-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Liv McGill 39 9-19 1-6 1-2 5 11 0 0 6 20 11 +7.4
Laila Reynolds 37 3-5 1-1 4-4 2 4 2 0 2 11 12 -3.8
Alexia Dizeko 29 5-5 2-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 12 15 +14.1
Me'Arah O'Neal 28 6-12 2-4 9-11 4 1 0 0 0 23 16 +12.1
Jade Weathersby 27 7-10 2-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 18 12 +10.2
Caterina Piatti 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -18.9
Emilija Dakic 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -11.8
Gift Ezekiel 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.6
Nyadieng Yiech 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.5
D. Mindoudi Ongbakahoumb 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Sarah Deng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.4

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Asia Boone 39 4-15 2-11 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 12 3 +12.3
Tonie Morgan 38 8-9 1-2 9-13 1 13 1 0 7 26 25 +8.7
Amelia Hassett 36 4-10 3-8 1-2 8 2 1 0 0 12 13 +5.0
Jordan Obi 30 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 12 10 +0.2
Clara Strack 28 8-14 3-4 2-2 5 2 0 3 0 21 17 +8.9
Lexi Blue 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 4 +3.7
Kaelyn Carroll 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -5.6

* = starter