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2026-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 50.4% 49.6% -0.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Verhulst 40 6-14 1-4 0-0 9 3 1 0 1 13 11 -3.0
A. Chavez 40 7-23 1-8 3-3 4 3 0 0 1 18 1 -
Z. Vann 34 0-1 0-0 3-3 5 2 3 0 5 3 7 -3.4
S. Williams 33 1-7 0-3 0-0 8 6 0 1 5 2 5 +2.9
R. Beers 23 7-14 0-2 0-1 9 0 0 3 4 14 8 -2.5
B. Stewart 13 3-7 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 6 2 +4.0
C. Smith 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -5.7
B. Culliton 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.4
K. Lofton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Morgan 40 8-19 2-4 4-5 8 4 2 1 5 22 13 +8.5
A. Hassett 37 2-9 2-9 0-0 2 1 1 2 3 6 0 +15.2
C. Strack 36 6-12 0-3 6-8 12 1 0 3 3 18 19 +2.1
A. Boone 32 0-6 0-6 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 1 -2 +5.1
J. Obi 26 4-11 0-0 3-5 6 1 0 0 0 11 7 +7.1
K. Carroll 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 5 4 +5.6
L. Blue 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.7

* = starter