Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.5% | 1.5% | -23.2 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Morgan | 40 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -3.9 |
| A. Hassett | 39 | 6-15 | 5-14 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +1.9 |
| C. Strack | 36 | 8-21 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -0.7 |
| J. Obi | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 13 | +8.5 |
| A. Boone | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7.9 |
| T. Key | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3.1 |
| K. Carroll | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -11.5 |
| L. Blue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.4 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones | 37 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 8-8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 29 | +7.8 |
| S. Tripp | 34 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +1.9 |
| A. Strickland | 31 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Q. Eubank | 27 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.2 |
| H. Fuller | 23 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -1 | +6.9 |
| K. Brodie | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
| L. West | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +9.8 |
| K. McGinnis | 11 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | +9.9 |
| C. Hyde | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.4 |
* = starter