Indiana State
2009 Team Stats (3 games)
58.0
PPG
77.3
Opp
-19.3
Margin
40.3%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
75.7%
FT%
28.3
RPG
11.7
APG
17.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.2
Adj PPG
66.6
Adj Opp PPG
#208
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1037 (#143) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 914 (#233) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 993 (#186) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -2.2 (#204) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.5 (#141) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.279 (#278) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.390 (#206) | AdjNet -3.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.389 (#207) | AdjNet -3.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.446 (#208) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.505 (#160) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.466 (#187) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.478 (#183) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 998 (#169) | RD 153 | GP 31 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.