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2009-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 28.1% 71.9% -
Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% -
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Reed 35 5-13 2-8 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 12 7 -
J. Printy 33 3-12 3-10 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 9 1 -
H. Marshall 31 4-9 2-6 1-1 3 4 3 0 8 11 4 -
C. Richard 30 3-9 0-2 1-2 12 2 2 0 2 7 12 -
J. Tunnell 20 2-4 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
A. Carter 20 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
I. Martin 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 2 6 -
J. Crawford 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
B. Leitnaker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. McCain 30 6-8 2-3 0-0 4 3 3 0 5 14 11 -
T. Wilson 30 3-7 0-0 4-6 6 3 6 0 3 10 15 -
S. Maniscalco 27 4-8 3-7 0-1 2 2 2 0 0 11 9 -
C. Roberts 26 2-5 0-1 2-4 2 2 2 0 1 6 6 -
D. Dunson 19 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
D. Norris 17 3-4 1-2 0-1 0 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
D. Collins 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 4 1 -1 -
T. Brown 16 0-2 0-0 2-3 2 3 0 0 0 2 5 -
S. Singh 14 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 8 9 -
A. Thompson 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter