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2009-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 56.2% 43.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -11 (47-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 36 2-4 2-3 0-0 8 3 1 0 3 6 11 -
K. Dillard 33 6-12 1-3 4-6 3 4 1 0 4 17 9 -
R. Hare 32 5-7 2-4 5-8 3 2 2 0 3 17 14 -
C. Fay 26 4-8 1-4 1-1 5 1 2 1 1 10 10 -
N. Evans 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -5 -
T. Boyle 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 3 -
A. Booker 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Clemmons 14 1-1 1-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
J. Bocot 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Reed 36 1-12 1-7 0-1 3 3 0 0 2 3 -5 -
J. Printy 29 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 3 3 0 5 3 -1 -
H. Marshall 27 2-8 0-3 5-7 4 2 1 0 4 9 4 -
A. Carter 26 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 6 1 -
I. Martin 22 3-4 0-0 6-10 6 0 2 0 1 12 15 -
J. Tunnell 17 2-5 0-1 3-5 6 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
C. Richard 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Crawford 14 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 0 2 0 1 5 4 -
B. Leitnaker 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Barlow 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Cutter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter