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2009-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 46.6% 53.4% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Marshall 38 4-11 2-4 1-3 3 4 1 0 3 11 5 -
J. Tunnell 35 7-14 1-6 7-9 7 3 0 0 3 22 15 -
R. Reed 35 3-9 1-4 12-13 6 1 0 0 2 19 15 -
J. Printy 33 1-5 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 5 1 -
C. Richard 25 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Crawford 15 2-3 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
A. Carter 14 0-3 0-1 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
B. Leitnaker 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 4 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clemente 32 0-2 0-0 7-11 5 4 1 0 1 7 14 -
J.T. Durley 30 6-7 0-0 4-6 6 2 0 1 1 16 17 -
A.J. Hawkins 30 6-11 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 12 7 -
T. Murry 30 2-9 0-4 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 4 3 -
C. Hannah 29 3-8 2-6 4-4 2 4 2 0 0 12 12 -
D. Kyles 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Hatch 11 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
G. Stutz 9 3-4 1-2 3-3 2 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
R. Chamberlain 8 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
A. Ellis 8 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -

* = starter