Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | +13.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +4 (73-69). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Reed | 38 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 36 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. Printy | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| H. Marshall | 28 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Carl Richard | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Carter | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Josh Crawford | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Ahelegbe | 34 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| A. Farokhmanesh | 30 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. O'Rear | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Brown | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Moran | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Adam Koch | 23 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| K. Dunham | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter