Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -6 (59-65). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 38 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Kaylon Williams | 38 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 35 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Garner | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| K. Lacey | 21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Holmes | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Hopf | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. House | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 34 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | - |
| R. Reed | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Carter | 27 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Carl Richard | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Printy | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| I. Martin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Josh Crawford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter