Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +40 (83-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Reed | 29 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Carter | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Cutter | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Printy | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Richard | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Crawford | 18 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Barlow | 12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| I. Martin | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Donaldson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 | - |
| E. Clark | 27 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. Smith | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Kuric | 18 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Samuels | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| E. Sosa | 17 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. McGee | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Goode | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Jennings | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| R. Delk | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P. Knowles | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Scott | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter