Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Phillips | 42 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 40 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| E. Holloway | 39 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 30 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Sampay | 21 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Odzic | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Rubin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 38 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| R. Reed | 38 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| C. Richard | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 33 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Carter | 33 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Printy | 26 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| I. Martin | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter