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2009-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 14.0% 86.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Marshall 44 8-14 2-5 6-7 4 9 1 0 5 24 19 -
J. Tunnell 39 9-12 8-9 2-2 12 1 2 0 2 28 29 -
J. Printy 38 3-11 2-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 8 0 -
R. Reed 37 3-11 2-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 8 -1 -
C. Richard 26 1-4 0-1 1-1 5 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
B. Leitnaker 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
A. Carter 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Crawford 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Eldridge 43 4-14 1-7 4-5 10 3 3 1 4 13 12 -
C. Oguchi 41 5-11 5-9 4-6 11 1 1 1 3 19 19 -
E. Holloway 38 3-8 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 9 8 -
L. Phillips 35 6-14 2-5 0-1 1 1 1 0 4 14 -1 -
B. Sampay 30 4-9 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 0 2 8 10 -
D. Odiakosa 26 1-1 0-0 6-12 7 2 1 0 2 8 15 -
K. Thornton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Rubin 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Shipley 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Holtz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Robinson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter