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2009-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +6 (63-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Reed 36 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 12 4 -
J. Printy 33 3-11 1-5 4-7 3 2 2 0 2 11 5 -
C. Richard 30 2-7 1-3 5-6 12 0 0 1 2 10 14 -
J. Tunnell 25 2-5 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 7 8 4 -
A. Carter 24 0-3 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 1 2 4 4 -
B. Leitnaker 18 2-4 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 0 2 8 10 -
T. Cutter 15 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Crawford 11 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
I. Martin 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Barlow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ely 36 5-10 1-1 5-7 6 2 2 0 2 16 14 -
K. Williams 31 1-3 0-0 4-6 4 9 1 1 5 6 13 -
N. Garner 24 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
K. Lacey 23 3-7 2-4 3-6 2 2 0 0 3 11 5 -
P. van Tongeren 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
J. Holsinger 22 2-6 0-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
J. Haarsma 16 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
C. Hopf 9 2-3 0-0 6-7 1 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
D. Holmes 7 0-1 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
D. Granger 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. House 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter