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Indiana Fever

Also known as: Indiana Fever
Program History

2019 Team Stats (34 games)

77.6
PPG
80.3
Opp
-2.7
Margin
42.2%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
79.4%
FT%
35.1
RPG
17.3
APG
12.9
TO
80.2
Est. poss./game
75.5
Adj PPG
78.1
Adj Opp PPG
#9
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 922 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 918 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +84 elo More โ†’ 978 (#8) HCA +84 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.1 More โ†’ -2.7 (#9) HCA +4.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ -1.5 (#7) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.403 (#9) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.9 More โ†’ 0.418 (#9) AdjNet -2.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.9 More โ†’ 0.418 (#9) AdjNet -2.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1 More โ†’ 0.441 (#9) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 78.1 More โ†’ 0.470 (#7) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 78.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.432 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.437 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 34 More โ†’ 930 (#9) RD 152 | GP 34

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-05-24 @ New York Liberty W 81 - 80
2019-05-28 @ Connecticut Sun L 77 - 88
2019-06-01 vs New York Liberty W 92 - 77
2019-06-07 vs Dallas Wings W 79 - 64
2019-06-09 vs Phoenix Mercury L 87 - 94
2019-06-11 vs Seattle Storm L 82 - 84
2019-06-13 @ Dallas Wings W 76 - 72
2019-06-15 vs Chicago Sky L 64 - 70
2019-06-19 @ Atlanta Dream L 78 - 88
2019-06-21 @ Chicago Sky W 76 - 69
2019-06-23 @ Seattle Storm L 61 - 65
2019-06-25 vs Minnesota Lynx L 74 - 78
2019-06-28 @ Phoenix Mercury L 69 - 91
2019-06-29 @ Las Vegas Aces L 97 - 102
2019-07-05 @ Dallas Wings W 76 - 56
2019-07-10 vs Las Vegas Aces L 71 - 74
2019-07-12 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 84 - 90
2019-07-14 vs Connecticut Sun L 63 - 76
2019-07-19 vs Washington Mystics L 88 - 95
2019-07-21 @ Chicago Sky L 70 - 78
2019-07-23 @ Phoenix Mercury L 77 - 95
2019-07-31 vs Atlanta Dream W 61 - 59
2019-08-03 vs Minnesota Lynx W 86 - 75
2019-08-08 @ Washington Mystics L 78 - 91
2019-08-10 vs Atlanta Dream W 87 - 82
2019-08-18 @ Washington Mystics L 68 - 107
2019-08-20 vs New York Liberty L 76 - 82
2019-08-22 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 65 - 98
2019-08-25 @ Seattle Storm W 63 - 54
2019-08-27 vs Las Vegas Aces W 86 - 71
2019-08-29 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 83 - 87
2019-09-01 @ Minnesota Lynx L 73 - 81
2019-09-06 @ New York Liberty W 86 - 81
2019-09-08 vs Connecticut Sun W 104 - 76

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell Kelsey Mitchell G 37 25.1 13.7 1.7 2.6 0.5 0.1 1.7 12.8 4.2 - - - - 38.3 37.9 80.8 - 50.3 47.5
Candice Dupree Candice Dupree F 37 29.2 11.0 4.8 2.4 0.4 0.5 1.5 10.4 7.4 - - - - 46.5 0.0 85.2 - 49.8 46.5
E. Wheeler E. Wheeler G 36 24.5 9.7 2.9 5.1 1.2 0.1 2.8 8.5 7.7 - - - - 42.5 38.6 87.2 - 53.6 50.5
Tiffany Mitchell Tiffany Mitchell G 35 24.7 9.7 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 1.7 8.6 5.1 - - - - 38.7 29.7 89.5 - 49.6 42.4
Teaira McCowan Teaira McCowan C 37 21.8 9.5 8.8 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.3 6.5 12.6 - - - - 50.8 0 67.9 - 56.7 50.8
N. Achonwa N. Achonwa F 33 20.4 8.5 5.1 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 6.8 8.6 - - - - 47.8 23.1 91.4 - 55.1 48.4
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton Betnijah Laney-Hamilton F 37 25.5 5.6 4.1 1.7 1.3 0.1 1.4 6.1 5.3 - - - - 36.6 29.0 61.1 - 42.8 41.0
S. Johnson S. Johnson G 20 13.8 5.2 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.8 5.3 3.5 - - - - 34.0 23.1 95.7 - 44.4 38.2
Kennedy Burke Kennedy Burke F 31 13.6 4.4 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.7 3.8 3.0 - - - - 38.5 35.0 70.5 - 49.5 44.4
A. Taylor A. Taylor F 3 11.7 3.7 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.7 4.7 2.7 - - - - 35.7 0.0 25.0 - 34.9 35.7
P. Kea P. Kea - 14 7.3 3.7 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.9 3.1 1.6 - - - - 45.5 53.8 62.5 - 54.7 53.4
S. Mavunga S. Mavunga - 27 8.4 2.4 2.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 2.0 2.9 - - - - 48.1 0.0 70.6 - 52.0 48.1
K. Alexander K. Alexander C 3 8.0 2.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 - - - - 40.0 0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0
Erica McCall Erica McCall NA 18 8.8 1.8 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.0 2.7 - - - - 25.0 0 100.0 - 38.0 25.0
B. Goss B. Goss G 3 8.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 2.0 -0.7 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 41.7 41.7
C. Robinson C. Robinson - 1 10.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2019 Shot Zones

2510 located field-goal attempts in 37 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

McCowan25% Dupree35% Dupree37% Dupree30% Dupree28% Laney-Hamilton56% Laney-Hamilton40% Mitchell41% Wheeler44% Mitchell44%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
McCowan24% Dupree19% Dupree31% Dupree28% Dupree24% Laney-Hamilton29% Laney-Hamilton27% Mitchell31% Mitchell43% Mitchell38%
Misses: who misses most here

Kelsey MitchellCandice DupreeE. WheelerTeaira McCowanBetnijah Laney-Hamilton

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 408-730 55.9 816 Teaira McCowan 25% (208 pts) N. Achonwa 14% (114 pts) Teaira McCowan 24% (77 misses) Tiffany Mitchell 14% (45 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 123-328 37.5 246 Candice Dupree 35% (86 pts) Teaira McCowan 13% (32 pts) Candice Dupree 19% (38 misses) Teaira McCowan 15% (31 misses)
Mid-range left 124-325 38.2 248 Candice Dupree 37% (92 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 15% (36 pts) Candice Dupree 31% (63 misses) Kelsey Mitchell 18% (37 misses)
Mid-range center 73-170 42.9 146 Candice Dupree 30% (44 pts) E. Wheeler 16% (24 pts) Candice Dupree 28% (27 misses) Kelsey Mitchell 20% (19 misses)
Mid-range right 119-349 34.1 238 Candice Dupree 28% (66 pts) E. Wheeler 18% (42 pts) Candice Dupree 24% (55 misses) Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 13% (30 misses)
Left corner 3 9-33 27.3 27 Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 56% (15 pts) E. Wheeler 11% (3 pts) Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 29% (7 misses) Tiffany Mitchell 25% (6 misses)
Right corner 3 5-16 31.2 15 Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 40% (6 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 20% (3 pts) Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 27% (3 misses) Kelsey Mitchell 18% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 69-201 34.3 207 Kelsey Mitchell 41% (84 pts) Tiffany Mitchell 14% (30 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 31% (41 misses) Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 17% (22 misses)
Above-break 3 center 45-120 37.5 135 E. Wheeler 44% (60 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 40% (54 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 43% (32 misses) E. Wheeler 32% (24 misses)
Above-break 3 right 89-238 37.4 267 Kelsey Mitchell 44% (117 pts) E. Wheeler 21% (57 pts) Kelsey Mitchell 38% (57 misses) E. Wheeler 19% (28 misses)