Indiana Fever
2019 Team Stats (34 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 922 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 918 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 978 (#8) | HCA +84 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -2.7 (#9) | HCA +4.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -1.5 (#7) | HCA +4.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.403 (#9) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.418 (#9) | AdjNet -2.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.418 (#9) | AdjNet -2.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.441 (#9) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.470 (#7) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.432 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.437 (#8) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 930 (#9) | RD 152 | GP 34 |
2019 Schedule & Results
2019 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kelsey Mitchell
|
G | 37 | 25.1 | 13.7 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 12.8 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 38.3 | 37.9 | 80.8 | - | 50.3 | 47.5 |
Candice Dupree
|
F | 37 | 29.2 | 11.0 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 10.4 | 7.4 | - | - | - | - | 46.5 | 0.0 | 85.2 | - | 49.8 | 46.5 |
E. Wheeler
|
G | 36 | 24.5 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 7.7 | - | - | - | - | 42.5 | 38.6 | 87.2 | - | 53.6 | 50.5 |
Tiffany Mitchell
|
G | 35 | 24.7 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 5.1 | - | - | - | - | 38.7 | 29.7 | 89.5 | - | 49.6 | 42.4 |
Teaira McCowan
|
C | 37 | 21.8 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 12.6 | - | - | - | - | 50.8 | 0 | 67.9 | - | 56.7 | 50.8 |
N. Achonwa
|
F | 33 | 20.4 | 8.5 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6.8 | 8.6 | - | - | - | - | 47.8 | 23.1 | 91.4 | - | 55.1 | 48.4 |
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton
|
F | 37 | 25.5 | 5.6 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 36.6 | 29.0 | 61.1 | - | 42.8 | 41.0 |
S. Johnson
|
G | 20 | 13.8 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 3.5 | - | - | - | - | 34.0 | 23.1 | 95.7 | - | 44.4 | 38.2 |
Kennedy Burke
|
F | 31 | 13.6 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 38.5 | 35.0 | 70.5 | - | 49.5 | 44.4 |
A. Taylor
|
F | 3 | 11.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 35.7 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 34.9 | 35.7 |
P. Kea
|
- | 14 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | 45.5 | 53.8 | 62.5 | - | 54.7 | 53.4 |
S. Mavunga
|
- | 27 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 2.9 | - | - | - | - | 48.1 | 0.0 | 70.6 | - | 52.0 | 48.1 |
K. Alexander
|
C | 3 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
Erica McCall
|
NA | 18 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 38.0 | 25.0 |
B. Goss
|
G | 3 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | -0.7 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
C. Robinson
|
- | 1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2019 Shot Zones
2510 located field-goal attempts in 37 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Kelsey MitchellCandice DupreeE. WheelerTeaira McCowanBetnijah Laney-Hamilton
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 408-730 | 55.9 | 816 | Teaira McCowan 25% (208 pts) | N. Achonwa 14% (114 pts) | Teaira McCowan 24% (77 misses) | Tiffany Mitchell 14% (45 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 123-328 | 37.5 | 246 | Candice Dupree 35% (86 pts) | Teaira McCowan 13% (32 pts) | Candice Dupree 19% (38 misses) | Teaira McCowan 15% (31 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 124-325 | 38.2 | 248 | Candice Dupree 37% (92 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 15% (36 pts) | Candice Dupree 31% (63 misses) | Kelsey Mitchell 18% (37 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 73-170 | 42.9 | 146 | Candice Dupree 30% (44 pts) | E. Wheeler 16% (24 pts) | Candice Dupree 28% (27 misses) | Kelsey Mitchell 20% (19 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 119-349 | 34.1 | 238 | Candice Dupree 28% (66 pts) | E. Wheeler 18% (42 pts) | Candice Dupree 24% (55 misses) | Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 13% (30 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 9-33 | 27.3 | 27 | Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 56% (15 pts) | E. Wheeler 11% (3 pts) | Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 29% (7 misses) | Tiffany Mitchell 25% (6 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 40% (6 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 20% (3 pts) | Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 27% (3 misses) | Kelsey Mitchell 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 69-201 | 34.3 | 207 | Kelsey Mitchell 41% (84 pts) | Tiffany Mitchell 14% (30 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 31% (41 misses) | Betnijah Laney-Hamilton 17% (22 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 45-120 | 37.5 | 135 | E. Wheeler 44% (60 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 40% (54 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 43% (32 misses) | E. Wheeler 32% (24 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 89-238 | 37.4 | 267 | Kelsey Mitchell 44% (117 pts) | E. Wheeler 21% (57 pts) | Kelsey Mitchell 38% (57 misses) | E. Wheeler 19% (28 misses) |