Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (30.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +28 (104-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jones | 29 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Tuck | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Holmes | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 21 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Thomas | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| R. Banham | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 13 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Jones | 11 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wheeler | 32 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 32 | 13-18 | 9-13 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 20 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Burke | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. McCowan | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| P. Kea | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. McCall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter