Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +5 (87-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 35 | 12-21 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 18 | - |
| B. Sykes | 33 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. Williams | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 28 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Breland | 23 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Billings | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Coffey | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Gülich | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Coates | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 33 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 25 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 21 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 19 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. McCowan | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| S. Johnson | 15 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Burke | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. McCall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter