Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wheeler | 35 | 11-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| C. Dupree | 35 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 26 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 21 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Johnson | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. McCowan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 34 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 29 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| J. Thomas | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 25 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Holmes | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Banham | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Tuck | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter