Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -13 (63-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 34 | 11-19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| J. Thomas | 31 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Thomas | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 25 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Holmes | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Tuck | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Banham | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 35 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 7-19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -3 | - |
| C. Dupree | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. McCowan | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| S. Johnson | 13 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Burke | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter