Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -7 (87-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 33 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 31 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 26 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| B. January | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Y. Turner | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Carson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Smith | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Turner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Burke | 23 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| C. Dupree | 23 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 20 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 19 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. McCowan | 18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. McCall | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
* = starter