Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✓ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 30 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. McCowan | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 20 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Burke | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Kea | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. McCall | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 30 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 30 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| B. January | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. Carson | 24 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 22 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| C. Little | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Turner | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter