Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 34 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 30 | 6-17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | -1 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 25 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. McCowan | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 26 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Burke | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. McCall | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Kea | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 35 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Hayes | 33 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| E. Williams | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Breland | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Sykes | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Billings | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| N. Coffey | 15 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Cazorla | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter